In Sic Bo, every outcome stems from the roll of three standard 6-sided dice. Because each die is independent, there are a total of 216 possible outcomes ().

Understanding a Sic Bo Probability Chart helps you look past high payout numbers, evaluate true mathematical odds, and select wagers that offer the best return for your risk level.

How Sic Bo Probability Is Calculated

Three-Dice Combinations

To calculate the exact probability of any bet, we measure how many of the 216 total permutations satisfy that bet’s winning conditions.

Total Score Distribution

Because three dice are summed together, the possible total scores range from 3 to 18. The distribution forms a bell curve: middle totals like 10 and 11 have the most permutations (27 each), while extreme totals like 3 and 18 have only 1 permutation each ( and ).

                         TOTAL SCORE BELL CURVE
         (Number of Ways out of 216 Possible Outcomes)
   27 │                     ┌───┐   ┌───┐
   25 │                     │ 10│   │ 11│
   21 │                 ┌───┼───┼───┼───┐
   15 │             ┌───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┐
   10 │         ┌───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┐
    6 │     ┌───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┐
    3 │ ┌───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┼───┐
    1 │ └───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┴───┘
 Score:   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17

Sic Bo Probability Chart by Bet Type

Below is the complete mathematical breakdown of all standard Sic Bo wagers, including winning combinations out of 216, win probability, standard payout, and house edge.

Bet Type Winning Condition Winning Ways (out of 216) Win Probability Standard Payout House Edge
Small Total 4–10 (excluding Triples) 105 48.61% 1 : 1 2.78%
Big Total 11–17 (excluding Triples) 105 48.61% 1 : 1 2.78%
Odd / Even Total is Odd or Even (excl. Triples) 105 48.61% 1 : 1 2.78%
Domino (Combination) Two specific numbers (e.g., 2 & 5) 30 13.89% 5 : 1 2.78%
Single Die (1 Hit) Chosen number lands on 1 die 75 34.72% 1 : 1 7.87%
Single Die (2 Hits) Chosen number lands on 2 dice 15 6.94% 2 : 1 7.87%
Single Die (3 Hits) Chosen number lands on 3 dice 1 0.46% 3 : 1 7.87%
Specific Double Pair of chosen numbers (e.g., 4-4) 16 7.41% 10 : 1 18.52%
Any Triple Any set of 3 identical numbers 6 2.78% 30 : 1 13.89%
Specific Triple Chosen set of 3 (e.g., 5-5-5) 1 0.46% 180 : 1 16.20%

Total Bet Probability Breakdown

Total Score Winning Combinations Probability Standard Payout House Edge
4 or 17 3 1.39% 60 : 1 15.28%
5 or 16 6 2.78% 30 : 1 13.89%
6 or 15 10 4.63% 18 : 1 12.04%
7 or 14 15 6.94% 12 : 1 9.72%
8 or 13 21 9.72% 8 : 1 12.50%
9 or 12 25 11.57% 6 : 1 18.98%
10 or 11 27 12.50% 6 : 1 12.50%

Highest and Lowest Probability Bets

Most Likely Outcomes (Low Risk)

  • Small / Big & Odd / Even (48.61% Win Rate): Almost a 1-in-2 chance per roll. These carry the lowest house edge in the game (2.78%).
  • Single Die (34.72% Win Rate): You have more than a 1-in-3 chance of hitting your selected number on at least one die.

Least Likely Outcomes (High Risk)

  • Specific Triple (0.46% Win Rate): Occurs roughly once every 216 rolls.
  • Totals 4 or 17 (1.39% Win Rate): Requires rare combinations like or .

Using the Sic Bo Probability Chart

1. Compare Odds vs. Payouts (Spotting Value)

Notice that Combination (Domino) bets pay 5:1 with a 13.89% probability and carry a low 2.78% house edge. Comparing this to a Total of 9 or 12 (which pays 6:1 with an 11.57% probability but carries an 18.98% house edge), the Combination bet is mathematically vastly superior.

2. Balance Risk and Return

Use the chart to structure balanced bets:

  • Pair a high-probability base bet (e.g., Small at 48.61%) with a medium-probability bet (e.g., Domino combination at 13.89%) to cover short-term variance while keeping the house edge locked at 2.78%.

Common Mistakes When Reading Sic Bo Probability

  • Confusing Payout with Edge: A 180:1 payout on a Specific Triple sounds lucrative, but its actual hit frequency is 0.46% (), giving the house a massive 16.20% edge.
  • Ignoring the “Triple Loss” Rule: Beginners often wonder why Small/Big bets aren’t 50/50. It’s because all Small and Big bets lose when any Triple lands (, etc.). Those 6 triple outcomes subtract 2.78% from a pure 50% chance, creating the casino advantage.

Understanding the math behind Sic Bo removes the guesswork from your betting strategy. By sticking primarily to Small/Big, Odd/Even, and Combination wagers—all of which maintain a baseline 2.78% house edge and hit frequently—you align your strategy with the strongest odds on the layout.

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